Breakouts are failing more often in 2026, and the data backs it up
I test a lot of systems against historical data, and most of the time the goal is finding an edge to trade. Every so often, the more useful thing that falls out is a measurement instead of a strategy, and this year handed me one that says more about the market itself than any strategy could: breakouts on GER40 and Nasdaq have been failing at a higher rate than at any point in the data I’ve got. ...